IMF says Nigeria’s economy still vulnerable to oil shocks
The International Monetary Fund (IMF), Wednesday, welcomed Nigeria’s exit from economic recession and lauded its strong buildup in foreign exchange reserves.
The Fund said this in a report released on Wednesday in Washington DC, USA, by its Executive Board after the conclusion of Article IV Consultation on Nigeria.
According to the report, the Executive Directors of IMF welcomed Nigeria’s exit from recession and the strong recovery in foreign exchange reserves, helped by rising crude oil prices and new foreign exchange measures.
They commended the progress recorded by the Federal Government in implementing the Economic Recovery and Growth Plan (ERGP), including the convergence in foreign exchange windows, tight monetary policy and improvements in tax administration.
But the IMF, however, noted that despite Nigeria’s recession exit, economy’s vulnerabilities are still elevated as growth remained fragile and susceptible to shocks.
•The directors noted further, that important challenges remain as growth in the non-oil, non-agricultural sector has not picked up.
“To address these vulnerabilities, they had called for urgent comprehensive and coherent policy actions on the part of government.
“The directors emphasised the need for a growth-friendly fiscal adjustment to reduce the ratio of interest payments to revenue, to a more sustainable level and prioritise social and infrastructure spending,” the report said.
According to IMF, in addition to ongoing efforts to improve tax administration, there is need for more ambitious tax policy measures, including reforming the value added tax, increasing excise duty and rationalising tax incentives.
“The implementation of an automatic fuel price setting mechanism, sound cash and debt management and improved transparency in the oil sector is imperative.
“There is need to also increase monitoring of the fiscal positions of state and local governments and substantially scaled-up social safety nets,” he said.
The IMF commended the Central Bank’s tightening Monetary Policy in 2017, which they advised should continue until inflation was within the single digit target range.
According to the report, a number of the IMF Directors called for a higher monetary policy rate, a symmetric application of reserve requirements and no direct Central Bank financing of the economy.
•A few of the IMF Directors also advised the Federal Government to fast-track the confirmation of the appointments of the central bank’s board of directors and members of the Monetary Policy Committee to enable them function effectively.
•The directors emphasised that structural reform implementation should continue to lay the foundation for a diversified private sector led economy.
•They noted that, building on recent improvements in the business environment, implementing the power sector recovery plan and investing in infrastructure will accelerate growth in the country.
•They also advised that the government should strengthen anti-corruption and transparency initiative, while implementing the financial inclusion and gender strategies.
The IMF commended Nigeria on the continued improvement in the quality and availability of economic statistics and encouraged further efforts to address remaining gaps.
